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Today’s Racing Tips – Saturday 28 October 2017

There’s plenty of racing this Saturday afternoon and evening, with flat turf meetings at Doncaster, Newbury and Leopardstown, and some good class National Hunt racing at Cheltenham and Kelso.

Saturday will finish with a card of eight all weather flat races in the Midlands at Wolverhampton under lights.

We’re run all the entries through our computerised race prediction software to make the suggested tips for every race. See them below, sorted in time order. The naps for Saturday are at the bottom, too, our top four tips.

Today’s Racing Tips – Saturday 28 October 2017

Course Time Our Tip Race Type Dist
NEWBURY 1:10 PM Lamb Chop Flat Turf 1m
KELSO 1:15 PM The Delray Munky National Hunt Hurdle 2m51y
LEOPARDSTOWN 1:25 PM New To Town (IRE) Flat Turf 7f
NEWBURY 1:40 PM Prestbury Park (USA) Flat Turf Handicap 6f
DONCASTER 1:45 PM Mutaaqeb Flat Turf 6f2y
KELSO 1:50 PM Some Reign (IRE) National Hunt Hurdle 2m51y
LEOPARDSTOWN 1:55 PM Full Moon (IRE) Flat Turf 7f
CHELTENHM(NW) 2:00 PM Sonneofpresenting (IRE) National Hunt Chase Handicap 3m1f
NEWBURY 2:15 PM Danehill Kodiac (IRE) Flat Turf 1m4f
DONCASTER 2:20 PM Al Hajar (IRE) Flat Turf Handicap 7f6y
KELSO 2:25 PM Mahler Bay (IRE) National Hunt Chase 2m7f96y
LEOPARDSTOWN 2:30 PM Damselfly (IRE) Flat Turf Handicap 7f
CHELTENHM(NW) 2:35 PM Arthington National Hunt Hurdle 2m87y
NEWBURY 2:50 PM Dream Today (IRE) Flat Turf 7f
DONCASTER 2:55 PM Lawless Secret Flat Turf Handicap 1m3f197y
KELSO 3:00 PM As De Mee (FR) National Hunt Chase Handicap 3m2f39y
LEOPARDSTOWN 3:05 PM Making Light (IRE) Flat Turf 7f
CHELTENHM(NW) 3:10 PM Theflyingportrait (IRE) National Hunt Chase Handicap 1m7f199y
NEWBURY 3:20 PM Weekend Offender (IRE) Flat Turf Handicap 1m2f
DONCASTER 3:25 PM Saxon Warrior (JPN) Flat Turf 1m
KELSO 3:35 PM Civil Unrest (IRE) National Hunt Hurdle Handicap 2m51y
LEOPARDSTOWN 3:40 PM Hasselnott Flat Turf Handicap 7f
CHELTENHM(NW) 3:45 PM Holly Bush Henry (IRE) National Hunt Hurdle Handicap 2m7f208y
NEWBURY 3:55 PM Sunday Smart (IRE) Flat Turf 7f
DONCASTER 4:00 PM Spring Loaded (IRE) Flat Turf Handicap 5f3y
KELSO 4:05 PM Whatsthestoryman (IRE) National Hunt Chase Handicap 2m7f96y
LEOPARDSTOWN 4:15 PM Apple Anni (IRE) Flat Turf 1m1f
CHELTENHM(NW) 4:20 PM Midnight Shot National Hunt Chase 2m3f166y
NEWBURY 4:30 PM Dream Of Camelot (IRE) Flat Turf 1m
DONCASTER 4:35 PM Jallota Flat Turf 7f6y
KELSO 4:40 PM Just Chilly National Hunt Hurdle Handicap 2m6f151y
LEOPARDSTOWN 4:50 PM Tudor City (IRE) Flat Turf Handicap 1m4f20y
CHELTENHM(NW) 4:55 PM Robbin’Hannon (IRE) National Hunt Hurdle 2m7f208y
NEWBURY 5:05 PM Bybrook Flat Turf Handicap 1m4f
DONCASTER 5:10 PM Hajjam Flat Turf Handicap 7f6y
KELSO 5:15 PM Exit To Freedom National Hunt Hurdle Handicap 2m6f151y
LEOPARDSTOWN 5:20 PM Curly Girl (IRE) Flat Turf 1m
CHELTENHM(NW) 5:30 PM Pure Affection (IRE) National Hunt Flat Race 2m87y
WOLVHMPTN(AW) 5:45 PM Rapid Ranger Flat All Weather Handicap 6f20y
WOLVHMPTN(AW) 6:15 PM Toolatetodelegate Flat All Weather 5f21y
WOLVHMPTN(AW) 6:45 PM Oregon Gift Flat All Weather Handicap 1m1f104y
WOLVHMPTN(AW) 7:15 PM Sir Dylan Flat All Weather Handicap 1m4f51y
WOLVHMPTN(AW) 7:45 PM Big Time Maybe (IRE) Flat All Weather Handicap 5f21y
WOLVHMPTN(AW) 8:15 PM Midsummer Knight Flat All Weather 6f20y
WOLVHMPTN(AW) 8:45 PM Golden Guest Flat All Weather Handicap 7f36y
WOLVHMPTN(AW) 9:15 PM Logi (IRE) Flat All Weather Handicap 7f36y

Top Four Tips – Saturday’s Naps

As the jumps season kicks into gear, our top four tips are all National Hunt runners:

Course Time Our Tip Race Type Dist
CHELTENHM(NW) 3:45 PM Holly Bush Henry (IRE) National Hunt Hurdle Handicap 2m7f208y
CHELTENHM(NW) 2:35 PM Arthington National Hunt Hurdle 2m87y
KELSO 3:35 PM Civil Unrest (IRE) National Hunt Hurdle Handicap 2m51y
KELSO 4:05 PM Whatsthestoryman (IRE) National Hunt Chase Handicap 2m7f96y

Our selections today are all available at great prices, as we use objective measures to make race predictions, based on the stopwatch. This is not always going to be 100% successful, particularly where novices are concerned, but it can point to over-priced runners, which is just where the above sit.

One good example is Arthington, which runs in a four runner event, the 2.35 at Cheltenham. This one put in a really nice performance to win a similar race at Plumpton in September, but failed to recreate that level under a double penalty last time out in a two runner affair at Worcester. Today at level weights, that Plumpton win signifies this one has put down the best performance of this field. A price of 25/1 seems, therefore, to be a little on the long side.

Top tip for Saturday is Holly Bush Henry in the 3.45, also at Cheltenham, for trainer Phil Middleton. Today’s 7lb claimer, jockey Fergus Gregory, makes this one the best weighted runner on Saturday. There’s a big difference between having the best chance and actually winning, though, but at 11/1, this one looks to be an excellent each-way opportunity for those who’ll be watching the racing this Saturday.

By Robin Scott

Software developer, Robin Scott helps to run the Little Blue Pen website, in order to publish the product of two decades worth of software driven UK & Irish racehorse ratings.

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